Pi Coin price steadies after Pi2Day launches as bearish flag caps recovery
Pi Coin price has edged higher after Pi Network introduced three ecosystem upgrades, while buyers stepped in following the token’s fresh all-time low and a broader crypto market rebound lifted sentiment.
- Pi Coin edged higher after Pi Network launched SoloHost, Pi Sign-In, and PiVerify during its Pi2Day event.
- A rebound from oversold conditions lifted PI, but a potential bearish flag continues to weigh on the short-term outlook.
- Large monthly token unlocks and limited exchange listings remain the biggest obstacles to a sustained recovery.
According to data from crypto.news, PI price traded near $0.115 on July 2, up around 0.5% over the past 24 hours after the Pi Core Team unveiled SoloHost, Pi Sign-In, and PiVerify during the Pi2Day event. The move also came as derivatives activity improved, with open interest climbing back above $20 million after falling during last week’s selloff.
Pi Network said SoloHost allows developers to build AI-powered applications on its infrastructure, while Pi Sign-In offers a unified authentication system for decentralized applications. PiVerify gives third-party businesses access to Pi’s network of more than 18 million KYC-verified users, creating an additional use case that requires developers and businesses to interact with the ecosystem.
At the same time, macro conditions favored risk assets. Bitcoin climbed back above $61,000 and briefly traded beyond $62,000 after weaker-than-expected U.S. June jobs data strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates later this year. The rally added roughly $50 billion to the total crypto market capitalization and helped several altcoins post intraday gains alongside PI.
Oversold bounce meets bearish chart structure
PI’s latest uptick followed a sharp decline that pushed the token to a fresh all-time low near $0.1141 on July 1. The daily Relative Strength Index dropped to around 27 before buyers returned, giving the token a foothold around the $0.115 support zone.
The 4-hour chart, however, continues to favor sellers. PI has formed what appears to be a potential bearish flag, with price moving inside a narrow ascending channel after the steep decline from roughly $0.132. A descending trendline has rejected every recovery attempt since late June, while the Supertrend indicator remains above price near $0.121.
The MACD has started to improve, with the histogram returning above zero and the MACD lines curling upward. Buyers still need to reclaim several resistance levels before the short-term structure changes. Fibonacci retracement levels place the first barriers near $0.116, $0.120, and $0.123, while a move above the descending trendline and Supertrend would weaken the bearish setup.
Token unlocks remain the biggest downside risk
Supply pressure continues to overshadow the network’s new utility releases. PiScan data shows between 76 million and 149 million PI tokens are scheduled to unlock during rolling 30-day periods, while more than 1.7 billion tokens are expected to enter circulation over the next 12 months.
The steady increase in liquid supply has consistently outpaced demand and remains the main reason PI continues to trade near record lows. Liquidity also remains limited because Binance, Coinbase, and Bybit have yet to list the token.
A breakdown below the lower boundary of the four-hour bearish flag and the recent $0.111 low would strengthen the bearish case and expose fresh all-time lows.
On the upside, sustained buying above $0.120-$0.121, supported by growing adoption of SoloHost, Pi Sign-In, and PiVerify, would invalidate the current bearish pattern and open the door for a recovery toward $0.123-$0.125.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
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