SpaceX stock is already trading well above what most Wall Street analysts think it is worth. SPCX shares touched an all time high of $225.64 in their first week on the Nasdaq, yet the average analystSpaceX stock is already trading well above what most Wall Street analysts think it is worth. SPCX shares touched an all time high of $225.64 in their first week on the Nasdaq, yet the average analyst
Will SPCX Soar to $227 or Crash to $63? Here Is the Real SpaceX Stock Price Prediction
SpaceX stock is already trading well above what most Wall Street analysts think it is worth.
SPCX shares touched an all time high of $225.64 in their first week on the Nasdaq, yet the average analyst price target sitting on trading desks right now is just $164.
That gap between hype and homework is the real story behind every SpaceX stock price prediction making the rounds right now.
Here is what actually happened in the biggest IPO in history, what specific analysts are calling for today, and how high, or how low, SPCX could realistically go from here.
Key Takeaways
- SpaceX began trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX on June 12, 2026, after pricing the largest IPO in history at a fixed $135 per share.
- SPCX has already traded as high as $225.64 in its first week, after opening right at its $135 IPO price.
- The average Wall Street price target for SPCX stock sits at $164, a level the stock has already traded well above.
- Analyst price targets range from a $227 high estimate to a $62 fair value estimate from Morningstar, the widest spread of any major 2026 IPO.
- SpaceX's $60 billion acquisition of Cursor signals a shift toward orbital AI infrastructure as the next leg of its growth story.
- MEXC lets traders track and act on SpaceX's stock price prediction directly from a crypto trading account.
SpaceX IPO Price Prediction Just Came True: Inside the Record $135 Debut
SpaceX began trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX on June 12, 2026, after years of speculation about whether Elon Musk would ever take his rocket company public.
The offering broke from tradition in one important way: instead of pricing within a range, SpaceX's underwriters set a fixed, take it or leave it price of $135 per share.
At that price, the company sold 555.6 million Class A shares, raising about $75 billion, with an additional overallotment option for 83.3 million more shares worth roughly $11.2 billion if fully exercised.
That made it the largest initial public offering in history, ahead of Saudi Aramco's previous record set in 2019.
The $135 offer price valued SpaceX at close to $1.77 trillion, but the stock did not stay there for long.
By the following Tuesday, SPCX had climbed as high as $225.64 before easing back into the $200 to $210 range.
Before the listing, the only public way to get indirect exposure to SpaceX was through closed end funds like Destiny Tech100, which counted the rocket maker as its largest holding heading into the IPO.
SpaceX Stock Price Prediction: What Wall Street Analysts Expect Right Now
Now that SpaceX is actually a public company, the question driving search traffic has shifted from "will this happen" to "what is SpaceX's stock price prediction now that it has."
Five Wall Street research desks have published 12 month price targets on SPCX since the IPO, and they disagree about as much as analysts possibly can.
SpaceX Stock Price Target: $164 Average, $227 High, $62 Low
The most bullish published target on Wall Street right now is $227, while the most bearish comes from Morningstar, which trimmed its fair value estimate to $62 after SpaceX's Cursor acquisition.
That $164 average matters mostly because of where the stock has actually been trading, which is well above it.
On June 16, 2026, SPCX changed hands around $206, already about 26 percent higher than the average target analysts are using to justify their ratings.
Part of the reason coverage still feels thin is structural rather than accidental, since the banks that led the IPO, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, are bound by a standard quiet period before they can publish their own research.
Every price target available today comes from independent research firms or banks that sat outside the underwriting group.
The Bull Case: Why Oppenheimer, Wolfe Research, and New Street See More Upside
Analyst Timothy Horan built that call around a simple idea, that SpaceX is no longer just a rocket company but the only fully vertically integrated AI infrastructure company on the planet, with the capital, data, and engineering talent to build orbital data centers in space.
His note points to a total addressable market he sizes at $10 trillion by 2035, with space based data centers as the key swing factor.
Wolfe Research landed close behind with a $175 target and its own Outperform rating, built on roughly 16 times projected 2028 sales.
New Street Research's Pierre Ferragu set a more conservative $165 target, still about 22 percent above the original $135 offer price.
Oppenheimer's own note leans heavily on one additional factor: SpaceX's tiny public float, only about 4.3 percent of shares are actually free to trade right now, which means a relatively small wave of buying can move the stock a long way, the same pattern Horan pointed to in past small float debuts like Arm and Google.
The Bear Case: Why Morningstar and CFRA Are Skeptical
Not every analyst is convinced the rally keeps going.
CFRA's Keith Snyder slapped a Sell rating and a $115 target on the stock the day it started trading, arguing that the market is paying for unproven outcomes like Starship's commercial future, orbital AI computing, and the monetization of the xAI merger, without discounting enough for the risk that any of those bets stumble.
Morningstar's Nicolas Owens went further, building a probability weighted discounted cash flow model that puts fair value at just $63 a share, a figure he later trimmed to $62 after SpaceX announced its acquisition of Cursor.
Owens is direct about what has to go right for the stock to be worth more, since SpaceX needs to make Starship reliably and fully reusable, and it needs to turn orbital data centers into a real commercial business, and neither milestone is expected before 2028 at the earliest.
Even in Morningstar's own best case scenario, an outcome it calls "Moonshot" and assigns only a 7 percent probability, the stock is worth $154, which is still below where SPCX was trading on June 16.
SpaceX Stock Price Prediction 2030: The Long-Term Bull and Bear Case
Those 12 month price targets are a useful snapshot, but they do not really capture where SpaceX's stock price could land over the next several years.
SpaceX Stock Price Prediction: The $10 Trillion Bull Case
No major Wall Street firm has put a dated long range number on SpaceX stock yet, and the reason is simple: the company has only been trading for a matter of days.
What does exist is a clear set of scenarios that long term investors can use to build their own SpaceX stock price prediction for the years ahead.
The bull case rests almost entirely on two things SpaceX has not actually proven yet, a fully and rapidly reusable Starship, and a real commercial business renting out orbital AI compute to companies that need it.
Oppenheimer's long range thesis assumes SpaceX eventually captures a meaningful slice of that $10 trillion addressable market by 2035, with annual revenue reaching as high as $900 billion and EBITDA near $500 billion in that scenario.
Even Morningstar, the most bearish voice covering the stock, models a long run "Moonshot" outcome worth $154 a share if both engineering bets land, though it gives that path only a 7 percent chance.
SpaceX Stock Price Prediction: Why a $4.9 Billion Loss Is the Real Risk
The bear case is simpler and less speculative than the bull case, because SpaceX is still losing real money today.
The company brought in $18.67 billion in revenue in 2025, but its net loss ran close to $4.9 billion, and net margins remain deeply negative.
Everything else, from Starship's path to full reusability to the AI ambitions tied to the xAI merger, is still a bet rather than a proven business line.
SpaceX had not officially scheduled its first earnings report as of its IPO date. Morningstar projected late July or early August, though some market trackers now point to early September, and whenever it lands, it will be the first real test of whether the growth story justifies the price tag.
Why Is SpaceX (SPCX) Stock So Volatile?
A Small Public Float Is Amplifying Every Move
Part of the answer is simple supply and demand.
Only about 4.3 percent of SpaceX's shares are actually available to trade right now, according to Oppenheimer's research, with the rest locked up with insiders, employees, and early investors.
The bigger lockup release is not tied to a fixed date at all. CNBC reported that about 911 million insider shares, roughly twice the current public float, unlock just two trading days after SpaceX's first earnings report as a public company.
Small float IPOs have a well documented history of trading this way, since Arm and Google both popped hard on day one before settling into a volatile, but ultimately strong, first year as more shares gradually became available.
Retail Demand and the Cursor Deal Are Adding Fuel
Individual investors showed up for this IPO in numbers that surprised even the people running it.
Citadel Securities said SpaceX's debut drew the highest IPO auction order activity it had ever recorded from individual investors, and VandaTrack data showed retail buying on June 12 running more than 3.5 times faster than it did for Nvidia.
Then, just four days after the IPO, SpaceX announced its first deal as a public company, a $60 billion all stock acquisition of Cursor, the AI coding tool, from its parent company Anysphere.
The announcement pushed SPCX to its all time high of $225.64 and lifted the company's market capitalization as high as roughly $2.65 trillion, briefly putting it ahead of Amazon.
Whether or not Cursor itself moves SpaceX's bottom line anytime soon, the deal told the market that SpaceX now plans to spend its IPO windfall building out the AI side of the business, not just rockets and satellites.
How to Track and Trade SpaceX (SPCX) Stock on MEXC
Most people searching for a SpaceX stock price prediction are not planning to open a brand new brokerage account just to buy a few shares of SPCX.
MEXC gives traders a way to follow SpaceX's stock price and act on it directly from a crypto trading account, without needing a separate US brokerage relationship.
That matters most while SPCX remains this volatile, since prices have already moved 10 percent or more within a single session, and having access from an account you already use can be the difference between catching a move and missing it.
FAQ
What is SpaceX's IPO price prediction?
SpaceX's IPO priced at a fixed $135 per share on June 12, 2026, valuing the company at close to $1.77 trillion before its first trade.
What is SpaceX's stock price prediction right now?
The average 12 month analyst price target for SPCX is $164, with individual estimates ranging from a $62 low (Morningstar) to a $227 high.
What is SpaceX's stock price prediction for 2030?
No analyst has published a dated long range target yet since SPCX only began trading in June 2026, though Morningstar's long run bull scenario currently tops out at $154 a share.
Is SpaceX stock publicly traded?
Yes, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. has traded on the Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX since June 12, 2026.
Does SpaceX's stock price affect Tesla stock?
Tesla owns about 19 million SpaceX shares, worth roughly $2.56 billion at the IPO price, but that stake is too small relative to Tesla's own size to move TSLA shares on its own.
What does SpaceX's IPO mean for Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ) investors?
Destiny Tech100, a closed end fund that counted SpaceX as its largest position at roughly 14 to 16 percent of its portfolio, no longer offers the only public way to access SpaceX now that SPCX trades directly on the Nasdaq.
Conclusion
SpaceX stock is not short on opinions right now, and that is exactly what makes it worth watching.
As of mid-June 2026, you have a stock trading roughly 26 percent above the average analyst target, a bear case built on real engineering risk, and a bull case built on a market opportunity bigger than most national economies.
Whichever side of that argument you land on, the way to act on it stays the same: track the live SPCX price, watch how the next few catalysts land, especially that first earnings report in September, and size any position around how much uncertainty you can actually live with.
MEXC keeps that live SpaceX stock price one tap away if you would rather watch the next move from inside the app you already use for everything else.
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This article is provided by Marcus O'Brien for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets involve significant risk. Please conduct independent research or consult a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. The views expressed do not necessarily represent those of MEXC or its affiliates.
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