XRP price eyes $1.30 as whale accumulation boosts rebound

XRP recovered sharply after weeks of selling pressure, with traders returning to major altcoins as geopolitical fears eased. 

Santiment said the token surged more than 13% in 24 hours and reclaimed $1.28 for the first time in two weeks before cooling from that level.

The move followed a slide from above $2.30 in January to a June 11 low near $1.10. Updated market data showed XRP trading near $1.23 on June 16, up 4.17% in 24 hours, with volume above $3 billion. XRP ranked fifth by market value, with a market cap near $76.4 billion.

The rebound came as risk appetite improved across the crypto market. Traders reacted to reports that the U.S.-Iran conflict had reached a resolution, easing concern over energy prices, inflation pressure, and wider market stress.

Still, XRP remains below recent peaks. The token traded between $1.18 and $1.29 over the latest 24-hour period. It remains down about 13% over the past month and more than 43% over the past year. That leaves the recovery intact in the short term, but not enough to confirm a full trend change.

Whale wallets and exchange flows draw attention

Large XRP holders remain central to the current market setup. Santiment said wallets holding at least 1 million XRP now control 74.1% of supply and added 1.53 billion tokens over the past six months. That accumulation came while retail sentiment stayed weak.

This whale activity matters because it can reduce liquid supply when large holders keep coins away from short-term trading. It can also add confidence during rebounds, although it does not remove downside risk. If large wallets sell into strength, the rally may face pressure.

Exchange data also showed a shift in Binance activity. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha said XRP withdrawal transactions reached 53.2% on June 15 and stayed near 53.1% on June 16. Deposits fell near 46.7% and 46.8% over the same period.

The signal does not confirm immediate upside, but it shows transaction activity leaning toward withdrawals rather than deposits. In market terms, that may suggest fewer coins moving onto Binance for sale. However, traders still need price confirmation.

ETF demand and XRPL activity support the market story

Institutional demand remains another focus for XRP traders. As previously reported, XRP-linked products recorded positive inflows for a fifth straight week while Bitcoin and Ethereum products saw outflows. Recent fund-flow data showed XRP products added about $10.68 million in the week ended June 12, bringing cumulative inflows close to $1.44 billion. SoSoValue data also showed $2.82 million in Monday inflows on June 15.

The ETF data has kept XRP in the institutional conversation despite its weak price trend this year. Analysts have noted that access alone has not been enough to lift XRP back toward January levels. Traders are still watching whether legal clarity, sustained inflows, and stronger spot demand can work together.

At the same time, traders are watching Ripple’s payment network and tokenization work on the XRP Ledger. Former Ripple developer Matt Hamilton recently pointed to XRPL’s long-running exchange design as new Solana DEX models drew attention. “This problem was solved 15 years ago on the XRP Ledger,” Hamilton wrote.

XRPL’s built-in DEX has operated since 2012, giving the network a long history in on-chain exchange design. Developers are also testing lending and AMM upgrades, which may keep XRP Ledger activity in focus. These network updates support the broader utility debate around XRP, but they do not guarantee token gains.

$1.30 remains the key short-term level

The next price test sits near $1.30. Crypto analyst CasiTrades said XRP is approaching major resistance in that zone after a stronger-than-expected bounce from the $1.09 macro support area. The analyst said the move may be early evidence of a new trend, but it still needs confirmation.

CasiTrades also said XRP has not removed downside risk unless it reclaims $1.65 and turns that level into support. If buyers fail at $1.30, traders may again watch the $0.90 support area. Another analyst, Batman, pointed to a bullish MACD crossover and rising futures activity, but open interest data still sits near its normal range.

The latest move has improved short-term momentum, but the market is still testing whether buyers can hold higher levels. A daily close above $1.30 would strengthen the recovery case. A rejection could leave XRP back inside its recent range, with traders watching Binance flows, ETF demand, and whale balances for the next signal.